Tuesday, July 25, 2006
Hizbollah's New Reality
Once upon a time, on the Lebanon's side of the border, there bunch of Hezbollah guys sitting probably drinking tea. For some interesting reason (that I will get into in future posts) they decided to cross the border and kill some Zionist soldiers and capture two more. Then Israel would respond with the usual fly over and bunch of artillery and maybe if they are too stupid, they would send in commando unit to capture a Hezbollah commander! GUESS WHAT!? THEY WERE WRONG! NOT JUST WRONG, DEAD WRONG!!
Hezbollah who emerged as a hero in 2000 due to Israeli mistakes and miscalculations, speculated that they can get away with almost anything because Israel is busy with Gaza strip, plus the Arab world would instantly come to their Aid including the worthless UN who is acting as human shield for such group in southern Lebanon.
What happened? Why were they so wrong?
I believe Hezbollah tried to seize opportunity to gain more popularity and show its solidarity with Palestinian cause, but they were dead wrong about Israeli response.
In early days of the campaign, the dreamers in UDF and Israeli politics thoughts they could take of the matter with IAF air strikes without getting their hands dirty by sending ground troops. Boy they were wrong! Results: bunch of poor civilian casualties and almost no results. At the same time, Hezbollah was just gaining more power. The news that were coming out of that region was just more disappointing for Israel. Then Israeli Generals quickly went to cabinet and asked for ground troops operations. Then things started to look more positive for Israel. Results: More than 130 Hezbollah Fighters dead including some high ranking and regional commanders, capture of two or three of their fights (which is suprising because I was under perception that they were in this fight to become martyr, what happened?! Heaven was too full or something?!).
This question pops up to my mind! WHY? Why does Israel has to wait until more than 25 of its people are dead to react to a threat or an enemy? When the right was screaming its long out and pulling its hair out when dumb fuck Barak was pulling out of Lebanon, why didn't anyone listen to them! When the left was celebrating and the right was crying its eyes out telling him, "stop! Go slower! don't just pull out at once" why was left so happy about being out of Lebanon!? Why didn't Israel react with ground forces from beginning instead of just relying on Elite Unites. Don't get me wrong, I have a lot of faith in Israeli Commando Units however, I don't' believe they could win a whole war by themselves. You need battalions and armies and Tanks to win a war, not just Elite Units and Airforce. They are good for pin-point operations and short term goals.
Hopefully, Israel will continue these attacks and get rid of Hezbollah. At the same time, lets hope we could find an army who would take control of southern Lebanon after Israel pulls back.
As for Hezbollah, they are desperately attempting to use any excuse or minor event to declare victory; they claim they have destroyed ten armor personel carriers, killed more than 100 Israeli soldier. As I was watching this report from Iranian State Controle Channel, I thought to myself, "This is Hizbollah reality! All based on a miscalculation".